| Geochemical Sorption Models in
Probabilistic Risk Assessment |
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CNWRA® scientists
calculate neptunium sorption as a function of mineral surface area,
pH, and PCO2 using site-specific water chemistry. Results are used
to support probabilistic risk assessment models. |
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CNWRA® scientists can use calibrated sorption models to develop response
surfaces that explore the full range of
geochemical effects on contaminant sorption behavior.
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Southwest Research Institute |
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Sponsor: U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission |
| Principal Investigators:
D. Turner,
R. Pabalan, and
P. Bertetti |
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Program Brief
Statement of Problem: Sorption is
a critical part of groundwater contaminant transport modeling and risk
assessment. In many cases, in-situ methods that rely on contaminant
sorption and retention in the geosphere have been proposed for
remediation of contaminated sites. Sorption in probabilistic risk
assessment models typically is represented using sorption coefficients (KD)
derived from a limited number of laboratory experiments supplemented by
expert judgment. Sorption is strongly influenced by the geochemistry of
the system, however, and potentially important interactions are
frequently neglected by this approach.
Approach and Accomplishments:
CNWRA® scientists use laboratory experiments and detailed modeling to
identify key geochemical parameters controlling sorption. We have
developed a uniform approach to ensure model consistency and have used
risk assessment techniques to include critical aspects of detailed
sorption models into transport simulations. Results of these models
then can be used to build confidence in parameter distributions used in
current risk assessment calculations.
We calibrate surface complexation models
against laboratory experiments and calculate transport parameters based
on site-specific water chemistry. We use model results to provide limits
on KD probability distribution functions as input into risk assessment.
With this approach, we can estimate and represent sorption capacity as a
function of spatial changes in the geochemical system. This approach
also provides a means of correlating sorption behavior of different
contaminants by explicitly considering the effects of geochemical
variation.
Client Benefits: CNWRA® scientists
are working to develop a theoretical basis for representing sorption in
contaminant transport models and probabilistic risk assessments. This
approach provides a means to test assumptions used in risk assessment
and is an important part of building confidence in the predictions of
future behavior for long time periods. |