Overview

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Individual SFPOF vs Flight Hours

The PROF (PRobability Of Fracture) Risk Analysis Training Course provides a practical introduction to probabilistic damage tolerance and structural risk analysis using the PROF software. Developed by UDRI and funded by the USAF, PROF is used to quantify structural risk in support of the Aircraft Structural Integrity Program (ASIP). This short course guides participants through theory, input development, analysis techniques, and interpretation of risk outputs, including Single Flight Probability of Failure (SFPOF) and cumulative Probability of Failure (POF).

Who Should Attend

This course is intended for aircraft sustainment engineers, analysts, and program managers supporting USAF ASIP activities. Prior experience with deterministic damage tolerance analysis is recommended but not required.

Upcoming Courses

• On-Site or Virtual Offerings available for program offices and government contractors
• Previously delivered to: A-10 and T-38 SPOs, and as an abbreviated version at the ASIP Conference

Course Length

Customizable to 1–3 days depending on audience needs. Typical course syllabus available here.

Location

Available in-person or virtual; hosted by SwRI or on-site at customer location.

Instructors

• Laura Hunt, P.E. – SwRI Lead Engineer
• Marcus Stanfield, Ph.D. – SwRI Principal Engineer

Topics Covered

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Exceedance Probability vs Max Stress/Flight (ksi)

• Risk and SFPOF background
• Probability theory and distributions
• PROF software inputs and GUI walkthrough
• Equivalent Initial Damage Size (EIDS)/Equivalent Initial Flaw Size (EIFS)
• Probability of Detection (POD) and Inspection modeling
• Sensitivity studies
• Advanced topics: Suspensions, continuing damage, troubleshooting

Registration & Contact

To request a course or discuss customization options:
Laura Hunt
+1 210 522 3469